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Oil Price Cycles: 1973-2010   Fabian Balardini

Oil Price Cycles: 1973-2010

144 страниц. 2010 год.
LAP Lambert Academic Publishing
This book makes an important and timely contribution to our understanding of the forces driving oil price cycles since 1973. After a critical review of an extensive range of hypotheses from the existing literature, the author puts forward an alternative Marxian Disequilibrium hypothesis that the roles of price-makers and price-takers in the global oil market shifts systematically over the cycle. This theoretical investigation is followed by a detailed empirical analysis which identifies cyclical patterns in world and regional oil demand, as well as recurrent patterns in oil supply by OPEC and non- OPEC producers. Key elements of this analysis are the view that demand pressures, not supply limitation, trigger sharp rises in oil prices, and that low-cost producers passively follow the market during periods of price increase but aggressively increase production in periods of falling prices in order to maintain revenue targets. Concluding this remarkable...
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